October 20, 2019 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sun Dress | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Cleopatra | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bootsy’s Hadenough | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colorincolonel | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gianna’s Gift | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grats Road | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prosperity | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rodhwaan | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer in Saratoga | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daddymademedoit | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trish the Dish | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andi’s Kitten | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Sunset | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect View | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Folk Legend | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Elle M’a Souri (FR) | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nuttin But Runnin | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pat Pat Pat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Moving Moon (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Unmistakable | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Hannah | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spice It Up | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Field Daisey | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Templuna | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskarita | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Diner | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Niigon’s Glory | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ted W | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ransack | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Say It Ain’t So | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Overzealous | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steel Shot | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kitchi | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On the Lam | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All Hansens Ondeck | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pleasantly Big | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mucho | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Releasethethunder | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fortune’s Fool | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get Hammered | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dunph | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Calling | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twelfth Labour | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Comic Kitten | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amazima | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Princesschope (FR) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Repatriated Gem (GB) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bridaled Temper | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aspen Summer | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Cambeliza | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Latest Version | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Call to Victory | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vanilla Cat | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bye Bye Bully’s | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spinning Top | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Woodfin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Banshee Birdie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Big Tina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tweety Show | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Classy John | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Highway | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stage Left | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hide the Demon | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Truebadour | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sovereign Impact | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Love | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Better Charge It | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Rood And Riddle Dowager S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Elysea’s World (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentle Ruler | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lemoona | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Get Explicit | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Flower | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ambitious Moon | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Over Thinking | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Vevina | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Touriga (BRZ) | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Decorating | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Dream (BRZ) | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Calm | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Inthemidstofbiz | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Girl Factor | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Lady Locker | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Love to Learn | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | A. P. Princess | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elle Factor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blue Chicory | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bay of Fables | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Thea Bee | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lemon Drop Twist | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Temperance Road | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adheretome | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stellar Stiletto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Naughty Factor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Aspens Little Zip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Flash n’ Dance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.