October 20, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Purchasing Power | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Lights | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danny California | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dooley | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Skies Forever | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Turned Aside | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Menelik | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trash Talker | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gunman | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Imperial Moment | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Poe | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Over Miami | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Count Down | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vitesse | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colloquist | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Loyalty | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stella B. | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Nanny | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zecha | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Mikayah | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Bacchanalia | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coilean Bawn | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Estill | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss You Blues | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Ava Malone | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In Front | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Razeena | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Funny Flowers | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Muddy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mental Model | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jerome Avenue | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allured | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Other Things Equal | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sargeant Drive | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edict | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Silver | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Dream Passage | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alasaayil | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Sister Nat (FR) | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Scarlett | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jaylan | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Discreet | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Siding Spring | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hieroglyphics | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aristocratic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Local Hero | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bondurant | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harv Won’t Tap | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morrison | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tusk | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Ramsey | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bitumen | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Orsay | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barista Vixen | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Rules | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bells of War | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undine | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Pao | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Fortune | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Athenia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Simply Breathless (GB) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Bye and Bye | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arabella Bella | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Pepper Sprout | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andina Del Sur | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Xenobia (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Store (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victorine (FR) | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Matty’s Magnum | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Corey Scores | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Amazing Zero | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Abby Normal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Tatterazzi | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kitty Therapy | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trumpit | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frosty Linz | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Youth Gone Wild | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Causin’ Trouble | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rousey | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Highleelikelee | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magical Romance | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | La Rubia | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alexacrat | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Ice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.