October 19, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boss Betty | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Bindala | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tribute’s Pride | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Bottom Blues | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mylie Idel | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buggels Girl | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smart N Holy | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fickle Flash | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Orthodox | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Brown Eyes | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Orthodrive | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Little T | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blaising Guitar | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’tseentheball | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cajun Dude | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashing Angelbaby | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blushing Dreamer | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Horace Charles | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seeyainthetestbarn | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liam Skye | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Formeredith | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | E Porto | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Little Red Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ms Louisa | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Half Vicki | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Osceola Rose | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Susurro | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stang It | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Teton | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mane Priority | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broke and Praying | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Why Not Dana | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Badger Basin Belle | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Lily Be | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Seismic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Soaring Now | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fancy Pants Jen | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lurey An | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Wekati | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bernadettes Vision | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zyanara | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Pepper Ann | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sundereya | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Suckerforagrey | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kinley Cash | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Tiz One Fee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rahil | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bettin On Bryan | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Lucky Man | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Liken It | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kurts Raider | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Calculate | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bing Bing | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Favorite Son | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dream Twister | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alterana | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Max Pandowdy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | King Kip | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Fellar | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gentrified | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Late Nite Mischief | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Autumn Warrior | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inspector Eddie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burgameister | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pleasant d’Oro | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drewcitable | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queeten | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Star Banjo | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prospector Fever | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Make Me Smile | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Fitzstall | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taken Back | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bailey’s Power | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Cane | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Book | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whatdatpay Ray | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Pinata | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Neon Sky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Legacy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Richard Ronald | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | X Clown | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Relentless Dancer | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pickens | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Minit I See U | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Indeed | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luckenbacher | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Aching Arch | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Too Much Bourbon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zoot Suit | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Bending Saint | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Takes Two to Tango | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Cajun Firecracker | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hold Me Black | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Galaxy Builder | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Steve | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Buxterhooter | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freakonthelead | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of Caledon | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meseta Diablo | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Lydgate | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sea Treaty | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Parade | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Village | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunderberg | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Krafty Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.