October 18, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Teachable Moment | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Four Ten | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Road to Meath | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duncastle | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Point of Humor | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bebeau | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brahe | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knockout Punch | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Dude | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Paradiso | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tarallucci | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Too Many Tales | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ross | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delta Gamma | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | La Bella Chica | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barbara P | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Day Zip | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Simmering Miss | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Queen Kahen | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | A Dixie Twister | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bareeqa | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timely Tradition | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Annie Rocks | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Hoponthebusgus | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | China Rider | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Flash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Woundwithhereyes | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sir Ballantine | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samadi Sky | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame the Thief | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brimstone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kahramani | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Orpheus (ARG) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy Lane | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mike’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tizaprincessa | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rossellini | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pecatonica | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seductive (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ascender | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Recess | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crater Rim | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Solitary Gem | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fairy Link | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broken English | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Preferred Outcome | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Qian B C | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Captain Frost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Nutzforboltz | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Three Outlaws | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Playwright | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | El Hermano | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Albie | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mystical Song | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honorable Hero | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barnacle Bill | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Constant Knight | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Riken | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Starry Messenger | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alphastest | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Wonder | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Singapore Trader | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | London House | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kosciuszko | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manifest Destiny | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Caretaker | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light the Posse | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Amundson | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Double Happiness | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Farcical | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eighty Seven North | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fika | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Alreadycelebrating | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Slippers | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aris Gal Suz | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Tell Flora | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Knight | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.