October 17, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Curlin Road | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tour de Force | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playthatfunnymusic | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mills | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamzapper | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sengekontacket | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Morality Clause | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kemba | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barista Vixen | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trickle In | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jazzy Lady | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Dare U | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positive Power | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shine Like Bobby | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Enterprise | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Sacred Place | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victory Boulevard | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robber Bob | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elite Mission | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will Sing for Wine | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Coilean Bawn | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bacchanalia | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Razeena | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Estill | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss You Blues | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ava Malone | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Andi’s Kitten | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Front | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Funny Flowers | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Siding Spring | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hieroglyphics | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Local Hero | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Morrison | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bondurant | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harv Won’t Tap | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tusk | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Ramsey | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bitumen | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mobridge | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hills Pond | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Allured | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dull Knife | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sargeant Drive | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spectator Sport | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Silver | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chuckles | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dream Passage | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alasaayil | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Play | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sister Nat (FR) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Scarlett | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jaylan | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Discreet | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boston Beauties (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Real Doozie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jen’s Battle | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kit Kat Katie | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Lady of Loreto | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Get Directions | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winning Melody | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pazyarmonia | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Liana | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Felony Melanie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Candy Girl | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pippi | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.