October 16, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Freeze Line | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King of the Testo | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pearlthirtyeight | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moneyinmypocket | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta A. P. B. | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Society | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Giant | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trophy Daddy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Such | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Freddieslilwildcat | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Looking for Bull | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ten Grand | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brown’s Monkey | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sarvelio | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ray’s King | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | St. Pete’s Crown | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Reality | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil and Tuff | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Greeley’s Glacken | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Larry Dale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn Baby | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Linz | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Loveuthreethousand | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two With a Ten | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Festive Heir | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Party Twist | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yes Madam Speaker | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D W’s Dancer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St Teresa | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kenai Special | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nonchalantly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Daring Darian | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sweeping Edge | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macandales | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Needs a Check | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swift Shock | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cap Rock Miner | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Actif One | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mundo Mutadda | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shaniko’s Secret | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stanton C | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dry Wood Creek | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | May Hour | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Outlaw X. | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Bayou | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yes My Son | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fleet Run | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain’s Song | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashyboy Bobb | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wayfaring Stranger | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Cookie | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Motive | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lauriano | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thunder Box | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No More for U | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fire Makers Star | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Priority’s Lil Boy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donna’s Court | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jr’s Sauvage | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey’s Gone | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Some of Merit | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Curlinate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Old Pep N Step | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cheap Shot | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heaven’s Creation | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Gianna | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glorieta | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peggys Ouest | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Rae Rae | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’freak Nasty | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out Late | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Arwen | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’sasweet Deputy | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Girl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kelley’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cheryl’s Copy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Madeforlife | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yes Babe | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blowing Bayou | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cohenscollegefund | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Pants Susie | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dejoke’s Song | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | L L L College Fund | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rebeccas Truth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Red Rose | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charmin Dixie | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flash N Go | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Perdido Key | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marcia Rose | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Neko | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sattersfield | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vagary | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Roc’n Maria | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Siberianproduction | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Joy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catbalee | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bet On Dee | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Batty | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Newfie Crown | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gallop’s Star | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.