October 15, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Penance | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga by Design | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fleur de Force | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Viva Nevada | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marnesia Big Girl | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Eyed Crystal | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Risen Change | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calypso Ghost | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Phelps | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Truth Is Truth | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Jump | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Bea | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wacca Wacca Wacca | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Policy Mistake | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Joeyville | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Black Light | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dr Zrada | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cornet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Marc Wells | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rachel’s Toy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Impossebull | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Roundtree | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joe the Boss | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Don Camillo | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sunshine Wild | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gadget Man | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Super Fleet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Alaapatique | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yellow Wolf | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rings of Jupiter | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arch Contender | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Flying Guy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Huascaran | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Kent | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Howboutdempats | 4.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Cloontia | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Golden Spear | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trilogy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Wonderfully Tuned | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Astute Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Run for James | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Do With Pride | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Champagne Chuck | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accountable | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Panama Papers | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Quality Asset | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Secret Secret | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Payday Too | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | American Cougar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Nice Surprise | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Legacy’s Prince | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Stand for the Flag | 0.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashndynamite | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hell of Afire | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chevy to the Levy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bossy Bride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Destiny | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Wagon | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gator Girl | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hola Princess | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abuela Loca | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Long Haul Bay | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Admiral Lynch | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Won and Done | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | His Name Is Sue | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Nitro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Shane’s Jewel | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | South Sea | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Take Your Place | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Wild Caramelo | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Flashy Kyem | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | I Wanda Win | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Get the W | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Prendimi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Optic Way | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | The Right Path | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Epic Dreamer | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Aspen Xtreme | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Star Player | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flight Risk | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Emperor | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rucksack | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O’Kram | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mission Oberon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Gilded Warrior | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zoomer | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wise Jude | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miami Tiger | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Fish to Fry | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peach Alley | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’m the Talent | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Avalon | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barley Jack | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fleeterthan | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Captain Sam | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amandasromeo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 1 | Fox Red | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E J’s Revenge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10B | 7 | Rockys Warrior | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Rider | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4B | 2 | Will’s Pioneer | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Won the Case | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Regal Quality | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | True Wisdom | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | The Carlbrook Kid | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | He’s Incredible | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Four Freedoms | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.