October 14, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gotta Be Lucky | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Cynn | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bellazano | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thought I’dmissyou | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chirp | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Writing in the Sky | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dream Palace | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Isla’s Toy | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champagne’s On Ice | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tappin Honor | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Way Cool | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pivo | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Restless Rambler | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Honor | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Heights | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caray | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Erotic | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Morning | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Road Rager | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Arrow | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Macho Woman | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Visual Magic | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saving Sophie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizwellwithmysoul | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Three Ay Em | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cono | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zipper Mischief | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Wager | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brimstoned | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jamming Eddy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roaring Rule | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asaro | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Truck Salesman | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Platinum Nights | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cunning Munnings | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Baby Gronk | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mayan Warrior | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | High Five | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Railman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Travieza | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storming Lady | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoovie | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Littlefirefighter | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stylishly | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Barrel | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Topgallant | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buck Duane | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imagineiamfastest | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surfside Sunset | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chieftain’s Lad | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R B Eye | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dieci | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.