October 14, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magical Luna | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Notroubleatall | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Revelment | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Win Then Grin | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Playland | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diva of Seville | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moravian Prayer | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blessingsofliberty | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunrise Memories | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charmedndangerous | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beguiling | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Roving Kind | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mayas Miracle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Guilty Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Glossamer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Leeds Castle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zitarrosa | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Glory | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Purpose | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sensational Notion | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Mine | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Relentless Lion | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Games | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Baby | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nana’s Shoes | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liberale (FR) | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Aunt Tillie | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Prayer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Janelle Dreams | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Witch | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goldmakesmesmile | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alydarius | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Move Over Honey | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zarbanda | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | High Sierra | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Clockstrikestwelve | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chick’s Shadow | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | New York Rock Star | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duniverse | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Life On the Edge | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bucks Vow | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valle Luna | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Olive’s Bumpa | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked T | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Thoughts | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midship Lady | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Light in the Sky | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maybe an Omen | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Gem | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rising Bella | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Determined Love | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Brown | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Fawzia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Paisley Singing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blue Y Gold (ARG) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Colonel | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daily News | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Orinoco | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Birdies Honor | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Crusader | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Whiskey and You | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Friends Beer | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lets Play Hardball | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Back in Black | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carey Times | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Doors Down | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Native Courage | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Lew | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Neva’s Gal | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Discreet Sister | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Sunset | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jumpin’ Nancy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ivanya | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rein Supreme | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lonely Drifter | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fender Baby | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dat Dares Gold | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polarization | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Malandrina | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Case Dismissed | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | My Chesa Charm | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Yes Means No | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wise Men | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aladdin Sane | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Here Comes Mongo | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moo Lah | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Patriot | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Above It All | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stucco | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blazing Reed | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Knockabout | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Game Break | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bold Trek | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Creative Time | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cast the Lot | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kiss the Spider | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Not Necessarily | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.