October 14, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Chills | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freudian Sip | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talespin | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ridolfo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apex Predator | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Martini Lane | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mazmania | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | First Appeal | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Alabama Bound | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Something Joyful | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 5 | Questeq | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Hollywood Cat | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Vip Nation | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 2 | Tequila Sunday | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orchid Party | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Promise Me Roses | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paved With Gold | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smiles From Sadie | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Macho | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Orb | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carlisle Belle | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Fantasy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Keep Your Distance | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Blissful Breeze | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Midnitesalright | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Letmetakethiscall | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Victoria | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stars Wilburn | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Zecha | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Leeway | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Days of Spring | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crack of Dawn | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Delete the Tweet | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lookn Fine as Wine | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Am Aine | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Launch Sequence | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Leaf | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bellsinthewood (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Smack | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | So Gracious | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bye Bye Nicky | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kelleycanrun | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wajeeha | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hickory Made | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Solo Artist | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mubarmaj | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gio d’Oro | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Storm | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Bridge | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moshaher | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Knickerbocker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Catholic Boy | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucullan | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Olympico (FR) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Noble Indy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Argonne | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glorious Empire (IRE) | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cullum Road | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Edgar | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Talent Scout | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Wishbone | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Honor | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bustin Mach Four | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indian Ghost | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Wise | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bronxville | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call the Cat | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.