October 13, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | High Velocity | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Star | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Magician | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jeffnjohn’sthundr | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Daddy | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Derby | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Goldie’s Hills | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deuce | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joeys Ace | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Runnuer | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Score | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Adare | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stable Genius | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shandling | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inquisiteur | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lincoln City | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tromador | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Defense Wins | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eddy Forever | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Palace Prince | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Special Day | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Octopus | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eel Point | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tizamagician | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Thunder | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor A. P. | 1.60 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Include the Tax | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rose Dunn | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Absolutely Perfect | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brahms Command | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whoa Nessie | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nothing But Heat | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Ms Jones | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnificent Q T | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Princess Dorian | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bragging Rights | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love of Art (IRE) | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Diva | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reinahermosa | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buttie | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brookes All Mine | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Apache Pass | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grinningeartoear | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Remember to Smile | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Magistrate | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stick Up | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Channel | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Not War | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goddess Aphrodite | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Starmore | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystica | 50.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Anoakia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pure Xena | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shedaresthedevil | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eclair | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leucothea | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Renella | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buyer’s Remorse | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Reedley | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | South West Bay (GB) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River God | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hootie | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tartini | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kichiro | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Bye Putin | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Hero | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unbroken Star | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Volubile | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Montana Moon | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.