October 13, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Baaqeya | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pastiche | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Free Coffee | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not in the Mood | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Helotes | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Risque Express | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Tapete Claire | 1.80 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Valiant Spirit | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Gurt Boys | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hatteras Bound | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kingslayer | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pharaoh’s City | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ask Chuck | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sea Swap | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | To the Victor | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ebo Strong | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dan’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charity Stripe | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sheplaysthefield | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Livin a Dream | 1.60 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Congressionalstorm | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookingforanewspot | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Risk | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arrive in Style | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Manipulate | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Untangled Truth | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Craigger | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bet He Canhula | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risque’s Affair | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wildcat Cura | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elregal | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Intrepid Spirit | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Start Meee | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kick Kick Hustle | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Triple A | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Screen Saver | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kelli’s Smile | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Transitive | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catch Fire | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Honor and Courage | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | For the Road | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Rags | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Impactful | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quench My Thirst | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ride On Faith | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thefundsarelow | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mr. Skittles | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sacrificing It All | 30.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Who | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arrecife | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | First Degree Burn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lucky Lover Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Powerful Venezuela | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Mess’n Around | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Potra Liza | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | I’m Not Joking | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Atina Salsa | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Stormbeam | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Friday Mass | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sally O’Prado | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bree’s Got Heart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flashndynamite | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Rumor Ridge | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Blue Eyed Girl | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deserted | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Righteous Ruby | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ciao Luna | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Heart Beat Away | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Diamond N Simon | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yellow Chick | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Karen’s Gem | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zira | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Glowing Star | 30.00 | 17.7 | 33-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galileo’s Affair | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Runnin On Sunshine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.