October 13, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paynterbynumbers | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rapido Gatta | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bridlewood Cat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Talabaat | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First in Command | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heartstrings | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Dreamin | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bid You Adieu | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peggy Sue | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Appreciate | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Trixie’s Time | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alley to Calvary | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Party in the Sand | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tass | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morelikelythannot | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pure Praise | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Squeeze | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Codrington | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Solitary Gem | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Winifred J | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Tapizearance | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theitalianamerican | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Jack of Clubs | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Galway Empire | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Forever Wicked | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prince of Pharoahs | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wild Banker | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | True Palace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Aquaphobia | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Dude | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Classic Covey | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Applicator | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Friend Frank | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bird’s Eye View | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Holiday Bonus | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Memories of Peter | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gracetown | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love My Honey | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Sparkle | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shesasuperfreak | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lem Me Have It | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarahrini | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | G. T. Sonia | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Point Of Entry S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Noble Indy | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Knight | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pillar Mountain (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carlino | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manitoulin | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paret (AUS) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arrocha (BRZ) | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Doups Point | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Danebury | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Gemmy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | I Love Jaxson | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Storm Prophet | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Three to Thirteen | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Carthon | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shannon’s Girl | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erin More | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Kind | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Happy Home | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Temperance | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghostly Beauty | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jasminesque | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Baci | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | To a Friend | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Breeze | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.