October 11, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perfectlyintune | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carson City Coin | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Star | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gottaflathaveher | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tashmoo | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Molly’s Dolly | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fairy Wish | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Boots | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baptize the Boy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bucked Tooth | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fernwood Drive | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seven On the Rocks | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooks Robinson | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mice and Men | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Exchequer | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Junior Senator | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funnythinghappened | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snidely | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coffee Please | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flip | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Too Much Tip | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frippery | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bayberry | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Munificent | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boos (FR) | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Romantic Moment | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buff’s in Love | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bunting | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Science Fiction | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Castle Ridge | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alexa Rose | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Talkthetalk | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olive Kat | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Dilly | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Queen Michelle | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Joseph | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Abundance | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Godlovesasinner | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Magician | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | By the Sey Shore | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Odds On | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bay Bridge | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Haz a Notion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wonder City | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Etana | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barbara Gordon | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Windy City Kitty | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Embossed | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin Dynamic | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Windfall Profit | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Meet Michelle | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orbette | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omni Diva | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grand River | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unequivocal | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Meo Desperado | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rip Rap Riley | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Make the Rules | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crazed | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ticker Tape Parade | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapitontheside | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quickhatch | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Patriotic Quest | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lacrostix | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sing a Verse | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Voodoo Valley | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stacksdenero | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mike the Tiger | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catonsville | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Odds R Against Us | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liar | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Let Me Ask Bob | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Luv the Painter | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Talented Dr. B | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tom Terrific | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sunday Red | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mabel’s Fable | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bizness Beauty | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Rosie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suzzette Star | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carrot Cake | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Smart Caller | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Expect Talk | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buddha Kai | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.