October 11, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dubai Bobby | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Boy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kobe | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Happy Danza | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tipazo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Upham | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stop Asking | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gottahaveaholiday | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Elegant Rose | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mimi and Charley | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Will Take Over | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Remembering Bobbie | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scoregirlscore | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ragtime Suzy | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overtime Olivia | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ma Meatloaf | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Speed | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roses From Ben | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Appletini | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caralicious | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mazal Eighteen | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Data Analytics | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Surprise Arrival | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9A | 7 | Stretchthestory | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ama Is a Rock | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Saratoga Love | 1.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Kiki | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Impazible Girl | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holmdel Park | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Graphite Dutchess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Willing to Speed | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Labeq | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Channel Island | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carom | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sargeant Drive | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Whiskey Is My Wine | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fotis | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Silver | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Risky Sour | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Red Zinger | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Financialstability | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bassman Dave | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Last Buck | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foolish Ghost | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ventus | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pivotal Connection (GB) | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cap de Creus | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kingdom’s Queen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 7 | Fancy That | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Zinger | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Team Win | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Charming | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Nonsensical | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Woodbury | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Bet | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Preston Court | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’ambrosio | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bumperdoo | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run for Boston | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Call the Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Pass It Up | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.