October 10, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Brite Eye | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alicia’s Pride | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Flirt | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ancona | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Probable | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Encounter | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vidalia | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My S V R | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Thin Line | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Belong to Becky | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Verynsky | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’tteasethetiger | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Image | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Concord Jet | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Hit Play | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fifteen to Vegas | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prayer Warrior | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Turn | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Text Dont Call | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vannavanna Bo Bana | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Totally Normal | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fran’s Empire | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circleofcolor | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billy K | 3.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Way too Cute | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lighthouse | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Connection | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Witch’s Vow | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kadesh | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party Town | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vodka Twist | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Late | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honeywhiskeynwine | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drasario (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Much More Halo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Howbeit | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Side Street Dave | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Drippin Sauce | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Clear to Close | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mainframe Judy | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Riding With Dino | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vastly Deep | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Seesawsam | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Delp | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carpe Noctem | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mo See Cal | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flor de La Mar | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zusha | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starr of Quality | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Querida Dubai (ARG) | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Too Hot for Curlin | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doc Yco Cheeks | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twirling Diamond | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Liar | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Indefatigable | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Y Not Sizzle | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Romance | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Slew South | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angel’s Advocate | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goddess Aphrodite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.