October 10, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dream Boss | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indicatif | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riskey Trickey | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chan Man | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pumpkin Spice | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Metal Count | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chrome Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | B Rasen | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Run My Pal | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hitter | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pops Legacy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Atdabarwithmerrill | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Vivinsky | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Mario | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Closing Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Golden Argument | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cajun Dude | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crocodile Jacques | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Richards Dream | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mister Intuition | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Half a Bite | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Reluctant Warrior | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Double Cool | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ingot in the Sand | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Letithappencarlos | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | D’yeti Man | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tdz What a Dream | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokey Gavin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sonoma Crush | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Judge N Ruler | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bud’s Mr. B | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Ty Diesel | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Rebel Gentleman | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Set Hut | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Intimidator | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Rapidash | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Dewey’s Bull | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Jade Star | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ten Tap Dances | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D’rockette | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supersport Sally | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diablo Gris | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Countess | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Agirlnamedsyd | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angel Cat | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strikingly Smart | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misty Ice | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Powered by Greeley | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bobbies Reason | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shaharazad | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Orleans Spice | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atchata | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bitters | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preemptive | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honest N Lucky | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | For Real Alice | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Anabelle | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Taylor | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Clear the Nile | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kris Me Deadly | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charming Bullet | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hip Four O Four | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kubo Cat | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Dusty | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Chocolate | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heavy Traffic | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vinyl | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stephen’s Answer | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit Wicked | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapitor | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valyrian | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reversaloffortune | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Destinedtobeastar | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drewzano | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fafa | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Alpha to Omega | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Plumbago | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Clipboard Money | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atomic Candy | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conniejoe | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Dinski | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Apriority | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Valor | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonshinerboy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Song | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red White and Loud | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D’dawson | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Vincenator | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emma’s Logic | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Clever | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Touched | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suddenly | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fix D Fence | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Rain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.