October 10, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Monmouth Dr | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sneads | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Prince | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muntahez | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yankee Division | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Quiet Out East | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wild Boar | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Causforcelebration | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Paynter’s Prize | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Primo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Awesome Adversary | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ridolfo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Icey Cash | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Storm Alfeet | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | T Loves a Fight | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark N Cloudy | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Family Biz | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proschema | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zealous | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Rule | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | End Play | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitten’s Cat | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Machtree | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Munnys | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Psychic Energy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ethan Hunt | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Will Did It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Swiping Dan | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 2 | Jennemily | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Imperial | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Can U Handle This | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excess Capacity | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Subsidiary | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queen Kahen | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Zira | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Elektronic | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shiraz | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Banana Thief | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fast Getaway | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Discretionary Marq | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Asset | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Mission | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mo Maverick | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Catch a Cab | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fuel the Bern | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chateau | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Happy Farm | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Achilles Warrior | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Seethisquick | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fusi | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kathy’s Cause | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Abby Normal | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Youth Gone Wild | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Daddysneverready | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vitanza | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deja Raconte | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Pins and Needles | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bull Feathers | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Breeze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | La Rubia | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.