October 9, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Melody Rose | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Zionica | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Miss Cissy | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Oh My Gosh Becky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Stars Included | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dance for Joy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | U Thought U Got Me | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Interslew | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Adieu Mallory | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | High Def Ridge | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bulletsandbourbon | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Light Her Up | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jackie Ems Pal | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sucre | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cats Beauty | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Diva’s Ransom | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Just a Bandit | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Doc’s Rocket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Wandernintheforest | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Emma’s Gift | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cherry Twist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Royal Galaxy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Purple Heart Road | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nomorequestions | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Emmett | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Johnnysjourney | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scissor Bill | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ch Bern | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ide B Stranded | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Linea Amarilla | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Sage’s Epiphany | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celtic Lass | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucy’s Revenge | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Tap City Baby | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thegoodwitch | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | La Reina Isabel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Greeley’s Doll | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jerry N Bo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Purely Blessed | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mom Said Yes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | D W Strong | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Changing Lanes | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tapit On Race Day | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Andiamo Giacomo | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tin Delay | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flash It | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Corvette Spirit | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Bold Thirst | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Max Pandowdy | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | F J’s Gem | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Drewpower | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Delaware Basin | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guitarzan | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mug Shot Man | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sand Pit Road | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Steppin’ Star | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dancehall Jack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Carmelized | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Richie Gary | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noisey Boy | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chambliss | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halostar | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Bagpipes | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Senor Blair | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Graceful | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Krafty Boy | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fusaichi Flame | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quality Production | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Freedom Factor | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Who Datawaki | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fulkerson | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gentleman’s Prize | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saints N Muskets | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seeds of Time | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Flyer | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Xairo | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Best Kept Secret | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Cajun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Front Money Morgan | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yonna She Goes | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Wekati | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | For the Hustle | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | B W P Express | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aizhai | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Zippy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Applewood | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not Today Alfie | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beta Jet | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Diplome | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proper Cross | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jojogottago | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friend of Dubai | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McBride | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Interactif Moment | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kannon’s Bad Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Luke the Drifter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Flash of Pepper | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Massive Punch | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Chatain | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Steel Drums | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.