Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 9, 2019

October 9, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Melody Rose 2.50 SCRATCH
1 6 Zionica 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 3 Miss Cissy 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Oh My Gosh Becky 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Stars Included 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Dance for Joy 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 8 U Thought U Got Me 3.00 5.8 11-1
4 2 Interslew 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 5 Adieu Mallory 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 4 High Def Ridge 12.00 7.4 14-1
10 7 Bulletsandbourbon 12.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Light Her Up 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 1 Jackie Ems Pal 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Sucre 3.00 3.4 7-1
8 7 Cats Beauty 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Diva’s Ransom 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Just a Bandit 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Doc’s Rocket 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Wandernintheforest 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Emma’s Gift 12.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Cherry Twist 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Royal Galaxy 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Purple Heart Road 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Nomorequestions 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Classic Emmett 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Johnnysjourney 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Scissor Bill 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Ch Bern 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Ide B Stranded 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Linea Amarilla 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Sage’s Epiphany 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Celtic Lass 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Lucy’s Revenge 2.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Tap City Baby 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Thegoodwitch 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 La Reina Isabel 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Greeley’s Doll 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 Jerry N Bo 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Purely Blessed 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Mom Said Yes 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 D W Strong 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Changing Lanes 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Tapit On Race Day 2.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Andiamo Giacomo 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 7 Tin Delay 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Flash It 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Corvette Spirit 15.00 6 11-1
1 8 Bold Thirst 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 2 Max Pandowdy 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 F J’s Gem 20.00 6.6 12-1
1A 11 Drewpower 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Delaware Basin 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Guitarzan 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mug Shot Man 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Sand Pit Road 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Two Steppin’ Star 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Dancehall Jack 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cajun Carmelized 6.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Richie Gary 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Noisey Boy 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Chambliss 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Halostar 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 11 Bagpipes 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Senor Blair 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mr. Graceful 3.00 4 8-1
1 4 Krafty Boy 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 3 Bitsy’s Carlos 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Fusaichi Flame 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Quality Production 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Freedom Factor 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Who Datawaki 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Fulkerson 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 1 Gentleman’s Prize 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Saints N Muskets 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Seeds of Time 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Dixie Flyer 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Xairo 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Best Kept Secret 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Bella Cajun 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Front Money Morgan 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Yonna She Goes 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Miss Wekati 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 For the Hustle 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 B W P Express 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Aizhai 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 King Zippy 5.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Applewood 2.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Not Today Alfie 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Beta Jet 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Diplome 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Proper Cross 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Jojogottago 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Friend of Dubai 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 McBride 20.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Interactif Moment 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kannon’s Bad Boy 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Luke the Drifter 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Flash of Pepper 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Massive Punch 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Sweet Chatain 12.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Steel Drums 6.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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