October 8, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Second Guess | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wristlet | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Larry Dale | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kye’s Addycat | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peace Lane Boy | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | St. Pete’s Crown | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Happy Journey | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Overlyappealing | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Houdini | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gato Del Banco | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classy Toni | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Private Reality | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fats | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Whistling Wind | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caeus in Pasadena | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Causeur | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ipidate | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marco’s Tribute | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Broke in a Flash | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overknight | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Callmechamp | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Awesome Rain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ronda’s Custom | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chasing a Saint | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Ty Fu Peg | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Standing Man | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speaktomeoflove | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flash Dancerluck | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Double Priority | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Western Star | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galloping Boots | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sailing Jett | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Pulpit | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Resilient Rick | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Watch My Smoke | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reflector | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Zapper | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Due Apeal | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Passing Simon | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ben’s Magic Stone | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | River Pride | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Hampton Roads | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catalogue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Paddock Pick | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Jet | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Greeley’s Banker | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Stupify | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nomo Ron | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Berko | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forestdungone | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Game for Sissys | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Whatdatpay Ray | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thirstyamericangal | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lodi Mist | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Underrated | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nancy’s Rescue | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Put a Ring On It | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valentines Day | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Running Rosado | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Sweep | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Cheers to Berti | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Want a Picture | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | My Pal Torres | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outback Jack | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Fiddlers Farewell | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Skylas Gold | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sparky Sparkles | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Theboyzdelight | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 4 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Crimson Jet | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | D’wildcat Indian | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fetching Fury | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andthebandplayedon | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tedders Angel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dueforadate | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Argument Won | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paleeze | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Princess | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Custom for Corales | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kehron’s Creed | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jewels of Sorce | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Memory Magic | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Gaze | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kodiak Sky | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kris T. | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honest Woman | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Weavemeawinr | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Springs | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz One Fee | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salesgirl | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Harlan | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rattlesnake Show | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Storm On the Mesa | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arguing Diane | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Song | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G Nanny | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chatain’s Choice | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Michel | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Half Vicki | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Red River Chase | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cuteness Apriority | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Little Brown Eyes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.