October 7, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Crystal Pier | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sydney Time | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Circus Music | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roman Reign | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zafiro Azul | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | I’m Thirsty | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Viva Nevada | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Al Dila | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Trainfourtwentyone | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Stormin Hongkong | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Lucky Hero | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Mass Appeal | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Nobiz Like Jetbiz | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Star Sign | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Flat Out Flashy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Mission Oberon | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Siralfredthegreat | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cozy Lover | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Even Thunder | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trusting Friend | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baduke | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get the W | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A J’s Way | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Mantle | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tu Exageres | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brother Tez | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pure Style | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ride On Faith | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Incidentally | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fairly Bold | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Dulzura | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bill’s Mafia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Dig Charlie Dig | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Dakota’s Dude | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Espresso Caliente | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Storm Factor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Action Everyday | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Secret Secret | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Not So Quiet Man | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Koan | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ty Ran a Homer | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Charmn Charlie Ray | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Miss Craigie | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rochela | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trapps Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Braydens Start | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enigmatica | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Cried a Tear | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enchantabull | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Star Lo | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Fort Fortitude | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Long May You Run | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J S Bach | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Take Your Place | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winning the Medal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Earned Success | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bolita Boyz | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lord Barna | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Parx Fall Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Nay Lady Nay (IRE) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Elsa | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ionic | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Lady Banba | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jabuticaba | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jennifer’s Dream | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mercilla | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Izzadora Bella | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trailblazer | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keltoi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Tightly Twisted | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Sweeter Than Wine | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Destiny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | She Makes Me Smile | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wishful Quality | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Volodina | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Caramel Cream | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Coupella | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Not Leaving | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Not Sure | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Madame Barbarian | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormbeam | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Aussie Mist | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Risaalaat | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Di | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Mary | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hailey’s Way | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celtic Vow | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lorden’s Love | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Heart | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verrazano Vittoria | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pascha Pascha | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.