October 5, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Krpan | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victor’s Way | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wiley O’Rielly | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Gump | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Derek | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kinlee’s Song | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Get Explicit | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Luck | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Without a Doubt | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Avie’s Mineshaft | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Zap | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Above All Names | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Rain | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Nile | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Airy Fairy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Girasol | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Make No Mistake | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rexdale | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Look Incredible | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calais Cove | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mary of Scotts | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Broadway Bonnie | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Subzero Plus | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonstone | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Real Coal | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Patton’s Girl | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Tillie | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Priceless | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fact Checking | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Take the Gold | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ishiyaya | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Mandate | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Merino Wool | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Avie’s Sky | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vespolina | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In the Red | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hibiscus Punch | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bay Harbor | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peace Corps | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lady Kratos | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | American Tap | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Starlet | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | French Charm | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Beast | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mission City Girl | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Juxtapose | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Allaboutaprincess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bold Animaux | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gray Phantom | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Talks | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Willy’s Castle | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Night Watchman | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Telling You Twice | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gorgeous Kitten | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish River | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Decision Day | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mazarine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Eh | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skygaze | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roman d’Oro | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Voyage | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Honor | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glorious Gizmo | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Invodkawetrust | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dad’s Missy | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiesta in Vegas | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Onezy’s Dream | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Screen | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dont Get Smart | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Eyes Touched | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Have Fun | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wassup Buttercup | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Lotus | 20.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Heart Rush | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Express Banking | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Caseyoudidn’tknow | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Moon Over Victoria | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Black Sage | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Pirano | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Crumlin Time | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Millbank Magic | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Shaunessy | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Kewanne | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vickie’s Ransome | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Daymare | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Peut Etre | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Unclaimedtreasure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lets Dance Some Mo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | J M R Bold Vision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.