October 5, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stretford End | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parsimony | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Nation | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silenced | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Champ | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hudson River Park | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | K P Indy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Rip City | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Moon Mischief | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasin Munny | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Convex | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fun Coupons | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dean Martini | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ekklesia | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smooth Like Strait | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | I Will Not | 12.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Penman (IRE) | 10.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Promise Nothing | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nineeleventurbo | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Connection | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nomizar | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Portal Creek | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Busy Paynter | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz a Master | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cherished | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shes All Woman | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Suzzie | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Wildman Jack | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lil Milo | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiger Dad | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Italiano | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Colosi | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Camby | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hartel | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mountain Spirit | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oil Can Knight | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Musawaat (GB) | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Order and Law | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | General Interest | 12.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle of Memphis (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Make It a Triple | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – L.a. Woman S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Selcourt | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Anonymity | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lady Ninja | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Show It N Moe It | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Streak of Luck | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flor de La Mar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Hunted | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overdue | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foray | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acker | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Roary | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unapologetic | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tequila Joe | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Lightning Fast | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cali Dude | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chipper | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Overkoter | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cleveland Cat | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whispering Flame | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Successful Command | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Summer Fire | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | If Id Told You | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | I Dub Thee | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daring Ways | 50.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wilder Than Most | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Brickyard Ride | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – City Of Hope Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Synchrony | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prince Earl | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catapult | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Score | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bolo | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | River Boyne (IRE) | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Restrainedvengence | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kingly | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Valour (IRE) | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ohio (BRZ) | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Andesh (IRE) | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shancelot | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Omaha Beach | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flagstaff | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Horse Greedy | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | California Street | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Flew South | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Swingtime S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quebec | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toinette | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Patriot | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Suebee | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tooreen Dancer (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yuvetsi | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Achira | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiny Tina | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Meal Ticket | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Sardane (FR) | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.