October 4, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Black Bess | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Never Sober | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brookies Bear | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Bear | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cindervella | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Emily | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Veil | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Copper Fox | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burbank Road | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | West L. A. Girl | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | San Nicola Storm | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Springdetti | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fat N Bitter | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Waldorf | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jacks Escarpment | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Sting | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lokinforpursemonee | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Fly Over | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Vienna | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harper P M | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Butilovesyababe | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing With Zorro | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Howie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vaughan | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Blind | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s the Gold | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Subliminal | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cry Bao | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pineda | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bazoo | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Fortune | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forester’s Turn | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Astaire | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Embrace My Uncle | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bullet Speed | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valuable Pillow | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Samuel H | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Homelander | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Better Boogie | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Keep Going | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Matteo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul n’ Spirit | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thanks Again | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Keeper | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bartman | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hardy Candy | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Smarts | 4.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Afleet Connection | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pulled the Goalie | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hansen’s Girl | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Touch of Emma | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can’tcatchtheraxx | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hockey Hair | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Have Feelings | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light My Path | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | First Spring | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Water Polo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Station Rock | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hesathriller | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skynyrd | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Duke of Miami | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Fever | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Groundhog Day | 4.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Count Forest | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 10.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Seventyseven Stone | 20.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.