October 4, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Turf | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Market Sentiment | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rmanie’s Grey Suit | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Seeker | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Captain N. Barron | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Union Rebel | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Winning Element | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Very Very Stella | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lifeline | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caymans Cobra | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eldritch (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Van Cortlandt | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Buckstopper Kit | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizzarunner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Rush | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Agatha | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Going to Vegas | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lizzario | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K P Cats Wild | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | G Q Covergirl | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swirling | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Window | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Annie | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Donut Girl | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cyrielle | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roses and Candy | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spectator’s Dream | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharpshootingeorge | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Classic | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Easy Way | 1.60 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brazilian Summer | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speak to the World | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artcrilic | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Raymundos Secret | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into Chocolate | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courteous | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vibrance | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flower Point | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Star Cast (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Our Charm | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Out of Balance | 4.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Platinum Equity | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shades of Victory | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | For Him | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dukes Up | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Implicitly | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alta Ky | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bully for Eric | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Combat Zone | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fast as Cass | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canadian Game | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nevermissesabeat | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Sky Logan | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Chest | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Impression | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Skye Jade | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Refractometer | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.