October 4, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Frisky Whiskey | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Justgimmeakiss | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speeding Starlet | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emelina | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cherryandthehawk | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Music Maker | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reiltin Oir | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dean’s Ticket | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Proper Princess | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cosita Rica | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Terp | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lonely Drifter | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Landing Zone | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lively Kitten | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crafty Angel | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Cannon | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New York Rock Star | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Brown | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R Sea Smoke | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked T | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Naughty Thoughts | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zorally | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Deceit | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady by Choice | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Athens Queen | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Phantom Shot | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madame Tiger | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rohrbacher | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maryland Pride | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Somekindofmagician | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caladan | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Railmaster | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eleven It Is | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calamity Kat | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Closer Look | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Adira | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jara | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cruise and Danze | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dontletsweetfoolya | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Leaveuwithasmile | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Tomorrow | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shari’s Tune | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Charmer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Over the Hillary | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fearless Terp | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunman | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Lookout | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Phase | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unequivocal | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hill Shadow | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charge to Victory | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Revolutionary Road | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time Flies By | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wolverette | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Gift | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gentle Thoughts | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beckon | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laska | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Saw Her First | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Jackie G | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Excuse My Charisma | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Speed Alert | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Echo of Victory | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Temple Garden | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Our Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sunniva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sherry Oriental | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Astarte Gold | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amphitrite | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Isabellaalexa | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Devilish Affair | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Halfinthewrapper | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Win Then Grin | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Calypso Ghost | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coin Operated | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Dancin Queen | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond News | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wilko’s Luck | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paul’s Plunder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | McPherson | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fact of War | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Geyser | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Determined Vision | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Available | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Dont | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bettor Bank On It | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | La Maquina Gris | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Mine | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hargus | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Front Line Paige | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Here’s to Mike | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miners Quest | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Intention | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Ain’t Never | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barney Rebel (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sir Brahms | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bay Bridge | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jump Street Hero | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bowsprit | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Hero | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Divine Interventio | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blame the Kids | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Runabout | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.