October 4, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mine the Coin | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Impunity | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oroscopo | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cavaradossi | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strategic Outlook | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No No Noah | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pistoleiro | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Single Verse | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Desbordes | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jen’s Battle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Moana’s Tale | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mazal Eighteen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Aubrey Tate | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tales I Winit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Devils Rendezvous | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Over Thirsty | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holmdel Park | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Street Trust | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chocolate Ride | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 3 | Playthatfunnymusic | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brucarita | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Harv Won’t Tap | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Daddy D T | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Total Tap | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Ramsey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | One River Place | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bondurant | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lord Simba | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indian Guide | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Diddley | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Javelin | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scarf It Down | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gorgeous Charli | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Horoscope | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Orpheus (ARG) | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Baffin Bay | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Direct Order | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Ian Glass | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willing to Speed | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Go Poke the Bear | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kumar | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Family Biz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Southern Brigade | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Thomond Park | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fetching | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely La La | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Classic Lady | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Niko’s Dream | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Makin’ Out | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Short Pour | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Out of Trouble | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cartwheel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Way Smart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Purely Lucky | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beyond Discreet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Katama Moonlight | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canteen | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Razeena | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss You Blues | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blahnik | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Navasha | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Know Point Given | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bellarmine Hall | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wickydidit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Perpetrate | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | True Grace | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kierkegaard | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 16A | 11 | Theitalianamerican | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Turbo Drive | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 10 | Destiny’s Charge | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Ringgood | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Voliero | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Driftwood | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empire Express | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Legend of Bam | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Jade’s Dream | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stash My Money | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Justintimeforwine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.