October 3, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jag | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Junipero Avenue | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tachyon | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broker’s Reward | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jorrin | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Makes Mo Cents | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jericho Marsh | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Society | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kierland | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fantasize | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unequivocal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Charmn Charlie Ray | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bootlegger (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon and Ice | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kathak | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Day the Music Died | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dapper Mun | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Major Flirt | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Me Darlin Kara | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Loudon’s Song | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seany P | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chitown | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Creative Artist | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Readyforprimetime | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Thunder | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Prayer | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wonder In | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kamehameha | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | McClure | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starry Messenger | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brooks Robinson | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dover Cliffs | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Birdsnest Party | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Copper | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King of Spades | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Fought | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Doctor | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tempt Me Twice | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Family Tree (GB) | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Critical Data (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Gracer | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlight Shadow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dance Or Stroll | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eifs | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dendrobia | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ellanation | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epic Idea | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Mo Lady | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shotdowninflames | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grace Isabella | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wildcattin | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shecor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Polished Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Atlantic Avenue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Order for Porky | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gray Gary | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tabled | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Degree | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sagamore Mischief | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enjoy the Music | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Great Camanoe | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shotski | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crocketts Bluff | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charm City Band | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nevisian Sunset | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Divine | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love’s Legend | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Justin Time | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kickin Kimberly | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annie Boo Boo | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Tweet | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Pitch | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Awesome | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Warm | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cassidy Ave | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | You Can Never Tell | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spicy Meatball | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shelly Island | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forthegreatergood | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baysider | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lunar Image | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caneel Bay | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baravelli | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | All Spun Up | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Native Flora | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ollie’s Papa’s Boy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Take Another Shot | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roof Top Bar | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Poser | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Macho Danny | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maryland Mo | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Macho | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Make Us Smile | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nancysaidso | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allison K | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My T Talk | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Kim | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heningham | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fanniebellefleming | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fifteen K | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orbiting the Moon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.