October 3, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr Phil | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paradise Pride | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rejected Again | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Star | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grito de Pablito | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Polar Bear Pete | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of American | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elite Mission | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Desbordes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mazal Eighteen | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 6 | Mosienko | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Chasing | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Canarsie Angel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bean Indiscreet | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jen’s Battle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Silky Blue | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Love | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Surprise Arrival | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Barker Lane | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pippi | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Moana’s Tale | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ama Is a Rock | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miss Gold Medalist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Aubrey Tate | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Allured | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jerome Avenue | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legion Storm | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Forgiven | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spectator Sport | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bumperdoo | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heartstrings | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Aquariva | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Linda’s Ballet | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Jewel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Incredible Miss | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Itsakeyper | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bid You Adieu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Appreciate | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shrink | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Trixie’s Time | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tradeable | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Too Much Drama | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lookbothways | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Katook | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Handle With Care | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sander’s Empire | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crick | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wailin Josie | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Witch | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Craftys Legacy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Firestormy | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | A Little Faith | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cat Lady Steph | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ailish | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lead Guitar | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Matzo Bella | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flush | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kerry’s Ring | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Abraxan | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cathy Naz | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Alvernia | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Queendom | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Quietude | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roaming Union | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Realm | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | High North | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carlino | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Small Bear | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backsideofthemoon | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Hold My Call | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | My Father’s Eyes | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cryptographer | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Diannesimpazible | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pacquiao | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Aleph | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Tercero | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macho Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Kringle | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Political | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Geils Rocks | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wild Banker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cray Cray | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.