October 2, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Lucky Runs North | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hit It Big | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hide the Ransom | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Palimpsest | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sea Rummy Run | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enduros Diamond | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Fender Baby | 1.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Slewzer | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Queena Esther | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polarization | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Miss Radar | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Initforthelonghaul | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Baccarat Honor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zen’s Land | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Dashing Lou | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shoeless | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whistle Me Home | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaming of Frank | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hirschbein | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Springers Point | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perp | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barton Holt | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pendrell Moon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Twentytwentyvision | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Little Leo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Iwishiwaspecial | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Noble Act | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mrmistakenidentity | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wheeler Forty Five | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Indy’s Quick Image | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Confusion | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Venezuelan River | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Credit Cycle | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thumbprint | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Im Poppas Favorite | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Youknowwhatitizzz | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Auriga | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backyard Fun | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ocean Delight | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broken English | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Glinda | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smoochin Candy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Colton’s Horseplay | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Soldat House | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loyal Aficionada | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Degrees of Freedom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Carly Angel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Slowpoke | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | That’s Angelina (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Resolana | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scat At Ms. Pat’s | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Nekia | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Kitten | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Backcat | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Gelato | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Icy Lady | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lockets Rocket | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Cool Alley | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Yes It’s Dyna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Willed | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queens World | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Patriot | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Sanibel | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Centsless Drama | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wee Bonnie Lass | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speedygalee | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Am A. Luring | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Huntington Drive | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Self Start | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clearly Super | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Arrivederci | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cause for Surprise | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grosco (MEX) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Babalight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | El Rojo | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Leonard | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allaboutthecandy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunni Blaze | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ranger’s Coming | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leaping Empire | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Straphanger | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Honor No Deal | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.