September 30, 2019 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Sunset | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Bond | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tisdale | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Da Winner Is | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Matter of Factor | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pharaoh’s City | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Shalis | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lil Commissioner | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Benevolent Prince | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Arpinella | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Conquest Falcon | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tuff Duff | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Forecast | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Red Clay Road | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wine At the Beach | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Accolade | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sadler Bay | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Real Time | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Crypto Currency | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Rinne | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Blaze a Trail | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brazen Prince | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Biletnikoff | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brushed by Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mousetrap | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Tracker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Whistle Player | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Defend the Bay | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monor Grades | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Social Stranger | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Gulch | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greek God | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Square | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfetto | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ride This Train | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Recanted | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sea Candy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lunetta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Driver’s License | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Lemon Water | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Odom’s Angel | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Interested | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil’s Turn | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kelcie’s Mandate | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | South Carolina | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love That Fountain | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prospect Queen | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Arch Rock | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aimed | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoe Loves Shoe | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Bear | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Off Duty | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Italian | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Front | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swing Step | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forty Fathoms | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Just Ask George | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lucky Runs North | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Bickley | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | C C’s Freedom | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystery Guest | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | King of Leinster (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tophat N Whitetie | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Striking It Lucky | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Templemore | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winston’s Way | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Palimpsest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Championship Alley | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Actspectation | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gallanor | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Cookie | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Exchange | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Emmy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Star | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Triborough Girl | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Group Text | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Pompano | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Absenceispresence | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Orbiting the Moon | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eighty Six Mets | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Glorious Mystery | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Princess Janet | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | R True Sensation | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cat Lak | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ruby Punch | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Double Cross | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | S P F Ninetynine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Fancy Outflanker | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.