September 29, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Newfie Express | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cardiff Hall | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dance Empire | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kilkenny Prospect | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Uncle Drew | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strikecrest | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s a Gizmo | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquer the Breeze | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charlie’s Game | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Tiger | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Green Growth | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Victory | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Deal | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Weekend | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disclosure | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddyplaystheblues | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Classy ‘n Smart S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s the Berries | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Cabernet | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Queen | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | March of Dreams | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Got Fire | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Paw | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Slydini | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Off My Tail | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Choose Hope | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strikingly Lovely | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joyful Cat | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Court Return | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worlds Apart | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Her Joey | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Red Return | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | El Chairman | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torpedo Max | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Oakley | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highriseinthepeg | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dotted Line | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Told It All | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tal Vez | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Owen’s Souper Moon | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frat Party | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wolf Ridge | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Radio Nowhere | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Am Prepared | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Edition | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cause for Alarm | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toxicologist | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cape Nero | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uno Champ | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Donnie Brasco | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heydon’s Case | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Secret | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormfuhr | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That’s My Mission | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drink in My Hand | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epilogue | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One More Drift | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shakhimat | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | City Boy | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muskoka Wonder | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piven | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salieri | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leo From Heaven | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carmenootz | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reconfigure | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 6.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Crusader | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jammin Still | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Laser | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blakey | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Osage Moon | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cabertoss | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashymeister | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Hope | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | English Classic | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rising Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unsurpassable | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Opus North | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strike a Beat | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brutus | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hungary | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guestimation | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Self Inflicted | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep Your Word | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Phantom Sky | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forester’s Destiny | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Admirals Cove | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hit the Ticket | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Bo | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bear At Last | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Street Legal | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Eliminatr | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gator Spy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thunder Point | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Other Breeze | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.