September 29, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heros Reward | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Great Power | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eel Point | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Thunder | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stackin Silver | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Footer | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Code | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seahawk Wave | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iron Curtain | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifteen to Vegas | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Passing | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buck Duane | 1.80 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Git On Your Pulpit | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rounding for Home | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mike Operator | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bachchan | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alvaaro | 1.60 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lostinthemoment | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dream Palace | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Precher | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Code Gray | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shootin Money | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carpe Noctem | 1.80 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nietzsche | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yha Yha | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Victory | 8.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Zenyatta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Secret Spice | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Woods | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ollie’s Candy | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Force (GER) | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kaydetre | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Humor | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Dearborn | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Anonymously | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Moreisbetter | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Silk (AUS) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dichotomy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Jen Go Unchained | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hoss Cartwright | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shake N Fries | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Union Ride | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Into a Hot Spot | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Indy Jones | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surprise Fashion | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Parsimony | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farquhar | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Forza | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Go Daddy Go | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commanding Chief | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tyrannical Rex | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Never Easy | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fivestar Lynch (IRE) | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Premier League | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlito | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ghost Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Salah | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.