September 29, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bp Fancy Alibi | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frisco Candy Man | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal N Dashing | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Hot Rowdy | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jessabluemoonlady | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ryders Dream | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marias Lightning | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dashs First Snow | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dashers Rose | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Solid Return | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serious Combination | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamonds On the Dirt | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dash Lil Seis | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Candy Moon Fling | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamonds N Pain | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nsm Corona Blue | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Toscana | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wagon of Cash | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Myownersbroke | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Relentless Candy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Kiss My Kabooti | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodacious Leader | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fly With a Buzz | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Better Check My Fire | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greatest Wave | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freefall N Cowboy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Im Suzy Blue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gonnawannakissthis | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Make Mia Miracle | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Seperation | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seb Ember | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sm Royalstreakingirl | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Paint Now | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jessaaabell | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | First and Ten | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apolitical Mess | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ties and Tacs | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fantastic Feelyn | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Special Wagon | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Dashing Z | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High On Ivory | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Make Me a Mojito | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Vaquero | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twister Runnin Wild | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Thorium | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Valiant Suzy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fosse | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynasty Ice 123 | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast N Furious 123 | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bhr Flashing Effort | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | This Jess Can Dash | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Fish Cartel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ts Wave Goodbye | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Shiny Wagon | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hawk Lion Stinker | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hr Sonofagun | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ladys Favorite Hero | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leaving to Get Candy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shazier | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.