September 29, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Quickpay | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prosperity | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celestial Dream | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | C’Est Mardi | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Fight | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laurel Lady | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bo’s Image | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Loretta | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Madame Orbe | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starlet Lady | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Dancer | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peace Corps | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Judi Blue Eyes | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hendaya | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sexyama | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | One Fat Kat | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Sixtyone | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Umightbeanempress | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Passion’s Image | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Love You | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Merry Maid | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sipping Champagne | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mae Sai Princess | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Stated | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rag Top | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Madness | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Determined Mission | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Third Card Down | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Step Sis | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Home Dixie | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | French Nouget | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dah Philly | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Introduced | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glittering Judy | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hip Hop | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Go Magician Go | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Confidently | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gotaheadache | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ten Oaks Miss | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Piu Bella | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Eileen | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Polished Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Grace Isabella | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hero’s Return | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phantom Dance | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mister Frank’s Way | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gone Home | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Degas | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Created Special | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Curlington | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hushed Hijinks | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bye Bye Melvin | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Law of the Land | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Invitation Only | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Somewhere | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mokheef | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby G | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Discretionary | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marshall Law (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eastport | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. d’Angelo | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hazaspittin’ Image | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Son of Aponi | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | False Info | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barin | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Seeking Revenge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Debraw | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deirdre of Legend | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | What a Tart | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irishrush | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Race | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fair Winds | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khalos Vision | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | West Coast Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stylish Ninetynine | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Aunt Tillie | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nana’s Shoes | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Go Baby | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Janelle Dreams | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eye of the Wildcat | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Ice | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vibrant Spirit | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mortal Storm | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Mabel | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Move Over Honey | 50.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who U Gonna Call | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Goldmakesmesmile | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Bob | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Witch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kickin Kimberly | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Friesing Waters | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Payntdembluesaway | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simonela | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Doozy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Skylark | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turko Treat | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Rozina | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Lantern | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tizadoozi | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starship United | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bellamy Knows | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flirtin Heart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Masai Man | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rumson Rally | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Going to the Lead | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One More Tom | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eddy Dirt | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Road to Oz | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Streak | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cast the Lot | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hunt Me Down | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cark | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Up Against It | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gas Money | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What About Shorty | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talented Dr. B | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Watchmeneighneigh | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Little Bay | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midskipman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Flip | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Southern Saviour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Moo Lah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Stormy Patriot | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Aladdin Sane | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.