September 28, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Moment | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colfear | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five Star Recruit | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curioso | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moochie Man | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Accountant Q | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bad Boy E. J. | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Monroe | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Luck | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweetest Boy | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Fortune | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Malio’s | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Guerreron | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Chirping | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nominal Dollars | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nightstrings | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dr Harlan | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Art’s Table | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Macfadden | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love Tree | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | High Approval | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flawless Moon | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overwatch | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | London Werewolf | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Mission | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indy Rules | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ezzy Big Ezzy | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Noble King | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Wade | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunshines Out | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Our Dear Peggy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Onyx | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cedar Hall | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addilyn | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madame Bourbon | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whycantthisbelove | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marama | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gran Brandy | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Maria | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Norma’s Love | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Greater Plan | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Randiabby | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bibiana | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Union Lane | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Panarea | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tonalist’s Shape | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Uncut | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Biz Maker | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Miss Cheeny | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Touch of Nirvana | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Adventure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Hollywood Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Man With a Plan | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Absolute Grit | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Song River | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Casanova | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Mistress | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Time | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Venerate | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Factorino | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pricey Victory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lenzi’s Lucky Lady | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire Wildcat Heir S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extrordinary Jerry | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ice Tea | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Soldollie | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Jordan | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Well Defined | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Take Command | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Just Kidding | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Garter and Tie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Armed Forces S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Captain D | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Causalistic | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Graceful Kitten | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jolting Joe | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turn On the Magic | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Small Reason | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Saint Benevolence | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo’s Had Enough | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Angelus Warrior | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Ride | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock the Park | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Go Gator Girl Go | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Affair | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Infinitypowersiwin | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heiressindy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Glory Dia | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Judys Tappin | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Allaboutthedrama | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Romantic Tale | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lola Wants | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Better With Age | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kisses for Tizzy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majic Flash | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Mr. Steele S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Second Mate | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Forever Mo | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Swagger Jagger | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Grand Journey | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Durocher | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ambassador Jim | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Marshall Eddy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cheyenne’s Colonel | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kublaigo | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Driven by Thunder | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Golden Decision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire My Dear Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dienda | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Sixty | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Let’s Be Honest | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bahamian Girl | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ceci Valentina | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Filly Jean King | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Indra | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rain | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tara | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Reserva | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Patty Heaney | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Delight | 5.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Monroe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hogans Holiday | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nikki’s Cause | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Long | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Passion Plus | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Great Sister Diane | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | American Frolic | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bienville Street | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Alida | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lafta | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Birdie Gold | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Enlisting | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Factor | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ashley’s Rose | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kantyi | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Una Luna | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Ftboa Florida Sire In Reality S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chance It | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Genghis | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liam’s Lucky Charm | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Poe | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shivaree | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nanahcub | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rosas Way | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wilshire Diamond | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebelde | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smash Factor | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Completely Bonkers | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Billy Big (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Son of Oahu | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Queens Jules | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Karen’s Cove | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Big Money Machine | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant’s Voice | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Dow | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abbot | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wigwam Summer | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hierro Colado (VEN) | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gran Tepuy | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So Long Chuck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dance Around | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Starship Apollo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Big Boy Bruno | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.