September 27, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gate Speed | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Norski | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calder Vale | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Valor | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zorich | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rineshaft | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Antigone | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Undisturbed | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Drive | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A G Indy | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Licia | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Text Dont Call | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | K P Whirlwind | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Convincingly | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | French Rose | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enchanted Nile | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Almost a Factor | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lakaya | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Augure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lucia’s Design | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wakes Up Happy | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muchomoneybaby | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Lilia | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kuda Huraa | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calese | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fran’s Empire | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chieftess | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Gallovie (GB) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | An Eddie Surprise | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Journey | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pride’s Gold | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salsa Bella (FR) | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Querelle | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Invincibella (GB) | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunrise Royale | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Chandelier S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bast | 0.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leucothea | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Comical | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Been Studying Her | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K P Dreamin | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buyer’s Remorse | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Eddie D S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eddie Haskell | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Vargas | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pee Wee Reese | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tribalist | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Liberal | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lombo | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boa Nova (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Touch (GB) | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magic On Tap | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Julius | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gum Tree Lane | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Courier | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Platinum Equity | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boogalute | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Endeavor | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ground Attack | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Potantico | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – American Pharoah S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Eight Rings | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Collusion Illusion | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shoplifted | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Defense Wins | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm the Court | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Theorem | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fore Left | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Express Train | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nucky | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Seven Scents | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carnivorous | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eagle Song (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Extra Hope | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hackberry | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Succeedandsurpass (IRE) | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Call You Tomorrow | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | City Rage | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Birthday | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Originaire (IRE) | 2.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Fury | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.