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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 25, 2019

September 25, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 J J Jen 1.60 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lady Macho 1.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Stunning Beauty 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Funderella 30.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Irish Banker 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Anydayisherday 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fallinginloveagain 1.80 2.7 5-1
2 2 Purchasing Power 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Lucky Bet 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Coach Villa 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Curlin’s Knight 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Run for Boston 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Inclunation 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ragtime Suzy 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Eight Oaks 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Ma Meatloaf 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Prairie Fire 1.80 4.1 8-1
1 1 Can U Handle This 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 G. T. Sonia 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Party in the Sand 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Free Enterprise 0.20 1.8 3-1
1 1 Somes Sound 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Kid Bourbon 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Coolboy 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Cobble Hill 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mucho Sunshine 30.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Curlin Road 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Turco Bravo (CHI) 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mills 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Neighborhood Bully 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Playthatfunnymusic 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Halloween Horror 4.50 4 8-1
4 4 Shalako 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Artemus Bridge 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Tricky Magician 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Thousand Percent 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Spinning Kitten 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Honorable Hero 3.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 My Amanjena 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Impazible Odds 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Tangled Web 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Leaky Cup 3.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Binkster 1.40 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sudden Surprise 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Manifest Destiny 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Gypsum Johnny 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Kosciuszko 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mz Seb Pat 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Kathy’s Cause 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Minit Maus 20.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Abby Normal 3.00 4.1 8-1
12 11 Rare Gift 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Tarallucci 2.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Magical Romance 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Kitty Therapy 5.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Miss Ross 8.00 7.6 14-1
9A 8 Plimsoll Anny 30.00 7.7 14-1
10 9 La Bella Chica 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 That Is Key 12.00 7.9 15-1
13A 13 Sweet Breeze 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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