September 23, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Klaatu | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J R Jellybean | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vibe | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arch Contender | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | To the Victor | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gorsuch | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ginner | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Waitin On One | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Retrograde | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | He’s Got Talent | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dennis’ Diamond | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honorable Service | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Easy River | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Under the Graydar | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runs for Luck | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Stand and Salute | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Car Fifty Four | 0.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clowney | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cinco Y Cinco | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Teflon Tony | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Belly Dancer | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mind Magic | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cloudy Saturday | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet First | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Malandrina | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Red Seven | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Gracias Adios | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thatta Boy Girl | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thirsty Gal | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Crystal Pier | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stroll Action | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Meeting | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Gateau St Honore | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | La Bella Pina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Golden Spear | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Astute Warrior | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neoclassic | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Willy d’Rocket | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shoeless | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Senor Louie | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nice Surprise | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Setter | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Proud Mandate | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Two Item Maker | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amandasromeo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wishful Quality | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Izzadora Bella | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malocchio | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flatter My Heart | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Oceano Rosso | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tara’s Talent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | Dig Charlie Dig | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | He’s Incredible | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2X | 11 | Won the Case | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Golden Exchange | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Hollywood Handsome | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Flight Risk | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | E J’s Revenge | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Smart Rags | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | A J’s Way | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | The Carlbrook Kid | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Caniform | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Infuriated | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3C | 14 | Espresso Caliente | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Gilded Warrior | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Lucky Lover Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5 | Marvella | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Flashndynamite | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Annika Gold | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | B B’s Busted | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Promised Storm | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chevy to the Levy | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Clare’s Dowery | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hola Princess | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dreamer’s Moon | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sugar Streak | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Like a Pro | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Abuela Loca | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 16 | Deserted | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2X | 15 | Blue Eyed Girl | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pastiche | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chorite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ebo Special | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Integral | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life On the Edge | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remain Anonymous | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mucha Muchacha | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ankle Monitor | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chick’s Shadow | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Meade | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Almost Perfect | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Biz Nasty | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Threatlovesmidnite | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Ginger and Jingle | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Little Vinnie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Succeed Quietly | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vegas Tycoon | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Bill’s Mafia | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.