September 22, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Beau’s Beauty | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Ladies Signature | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | True Castle | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Soul Planet | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Golden Vision | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Storm Gauge | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Countryside Drive | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Cerrado | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Spanish Major | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Just for Rose | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
8 | 7 | Everglow | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
6 | 6 | Je Suis Charlie | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Overbearing | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
3 | 3 | Stop the Humbug | 6.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
7 | 7 | Bacardi Trick | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bull Page S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Meyer | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Red Fiction | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Red Giveaway | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Rockcrest | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Dealmaker | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | In Memory of Floyd | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Just Like Larry | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Blame Ro | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Army Scout | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Love of Mine | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Mr Leo | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Warrior’s Heart | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Muchokova | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
7 | 7 | Shaman Spirit | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
10 | 10 | Mr. Diffley | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Trinity Thundah | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Henrytheeighth | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Veloce | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
12 | 12 | Franco’s Honour | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Time to Dance | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
11 | 11 | Northern Solution | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
10 | 10 | White Drill | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
9 | 9 | Mazinaw Legend | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
3 | 3 | A Gershwin Tune | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
8 | 8 | Criminal Flight | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
4 | 4 | I Dance Alone | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
6 | 6 | Silver Moon | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
13 | 13 | Different Days | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Bel Bimbo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | San Nicola Brew | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Ice Blue | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Gun Society | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Go for Mo | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Lea Ro | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Kayseri | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
4 | 3 | Vana Grand | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Yours Truly | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
3 | 2 | Buttered Toast | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
2 | 2 | A Little Voodoo | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Love That Lute | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Differential | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Macho Dancer | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Coleyville | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Pioneer Man | 2.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Conquest Eliminatr | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Colonel Talbot | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Argentium | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ontario Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Western Curl | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Intanga Rose | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Amalfi Coast | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Bold Script | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Dream On Jilly | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Miss Ariel | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
4 | 4 | Weed Be Happy | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Burbank Road | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Belle Danseuse | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Rince Tapaigh | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Alice’s War | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Close Image | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
1 | 1 | Stop Who’s That | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
7 | 7 | Silver Sidney | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
4 | 4 | Cape Mist | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
3 | 3 | Sailor’s Thought | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Water Polo | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
9 | 8 | Station Rock | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Captain Sidney | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Gasconade | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Bay of Rum | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Silver Sheriff | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Letthebighossroll | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Dancing With Zorro | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
8 | 8 | Serengeti Cat | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 11 | Society’s Tiger | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | In View | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Courting a Kiss | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Silencium | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Vividari | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Captain Handsome | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Now We Are Nine | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
6 | 6 | Legal Gump | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
2 | 2 | True Dat | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
5 | 5 | Fahrenheit | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | Sunspear | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.