September 21, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Project Whiskey | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Boom Boom Girl | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aseelah | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mary’s Song | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Mrs. Phelps | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tale of Perfect La | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Brooklyn Heights | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Arima | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Explosive Package | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Independence Hall | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vanzzy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Informative | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get Set | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Riviera | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ny Traffic | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Richie’s Edge | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blood Runner | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Invitation Only | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Croi Mor | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Richie Goes Global | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Critical Review | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Buy Land and See | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Daydream | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Saint Marco | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runningforhome | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Quick Enough | 4.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1A | 8 | A Gray for Carolyn | 8.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rumor Ridge | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Eyed Girl | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Mischief | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coupella | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sweet Turn | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Runnin On Sunshine | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sidereal | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glowing Star | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 2X | 8 | Marvella | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mineshaft Madness | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 10 | Chorite | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 11 | Excess Capacity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Alphabet Soup H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Smooth B | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pumpkin Rumble | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Saratoga Jack | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taxable Goods | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Missin the Big Dog | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Papal Law | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | My Friend Frank | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chilly in Charge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Charmn Charlie Ray | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brevard Place | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Bye and Bye | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Someday Jones | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Plum Pretty S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Imply | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Tree | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Trace of Grace | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trolley Ride | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mill and Gloria | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Maggie Mae | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diva Drama | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Buck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Turf Amazon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rocky Policy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Too Much Tip | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Gossip (IRE) | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enthusiastic Gal | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stetson Gold | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Folk Magic | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wildcat Combat | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Change of Control | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boos (FR) | 1.20 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Goldwood | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Parx Dirt Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Coal Front | 1.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Diamond King | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grasshoppin | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forewarned | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Golden Brown | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wild About Deb | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bonus Points | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Monongahela | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gallant Bob S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | King Jack | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Landeskog | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trophy Chaser | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Will | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bulletin | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Bridle | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Tocsin | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bethlehem Road | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Get Hammered | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cotillion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Guarana | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bellafina | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serengeti Empress | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jaywalk | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Band | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Horologist | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeltrin | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Collegeville Girl | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Sami D | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Destiny | 30.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Makes Me Smile | 50.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Pennsylvania Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Improbable | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Money | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War of Will | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Math Wizard | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spun to Run | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Superfly | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maximum Security | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Cowboy Mz | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Midnightcharly | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Factor It In | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Long May You Run | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bolita Boyz | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | His Name Is Sue | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Love Is Your Name | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Jw’strickymischief | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monteleone | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | South Sea | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Irish Colonel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Mr Thrifty | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Intentional Walk | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chase Tracker | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | More Thunder | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Favorite Grandson | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Spaceman | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Lets Play Hardball | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Indy’s Jewel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | New Commission | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.