September 21, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Coalinga Hills | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heart of the Nile | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Missmachupicchu | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | At the Margin | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart’s Passion | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Pass | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | So Gucci | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flying to the Line | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marrazano | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dunbow Road | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vegas Strong Baby | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leading Indicator | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Power | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Busy Paynter | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Flirt | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bellazano | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Kitty | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sidepocket Charger | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goddess Aphrodite | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Redhotnreadytowed | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | The Last Ruler | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blackandslvrattack | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spanish Channel | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Not War | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stick Up | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rolinga | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Miss Maybell | 6.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tequila Sunrise | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bunny Yogurt | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reinahermosa | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Connie Girl | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnificent Q T | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greater Glory | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Barbie | 6.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tough But Nice | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Puriano | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Conquest Cobra | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Cotton | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle March | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Seeker | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Captain N. Barron | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ragtime Blues | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Howbeit | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Temple Bar | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Finn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured Hero | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Octopus | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hav Plenty | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dean Martini | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lookin for Revenge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Capote S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hydrogen | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raging Whiskey | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Back | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Magician | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Side Street Dave | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dapper | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Georgian Road | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Istain Man | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Never Think Twice | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Absolute Weapon | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capital Reef | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Danny Aho | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baltimore Beecho | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Legendary | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jasmine Sky | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Van Gogh | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mountain View | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lorelei’s Warrior | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Magic | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Skye Jade | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dinesen | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fait Accompli | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suite Alonso | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ivorian | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fort Dodge | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speak to the World | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Artcrilic | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | R B Eye | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Go Sammy Go | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.