Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 21, 2019

September 21, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coalinga Hills 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Heart of the Nile 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Missmachupicchu 2.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 At the Margin 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Heart’s Passion 2.50 6.6 12-1
2 2 Don’t Pass 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 So Gucci 2.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Flying to the Line 2.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Marrazano 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Dunbow Road 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Vegas Strong Baby 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Leading Indicator 3.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Colonel Power 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Busy Paynter 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Flying Flirt 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Bellazano 6.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Sassy Kitty 3.50 7 13-1
5 5 Sidepocket Charger 8.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Goddess Aphrodite 4.50 8.1 15-1
7 7 Redhotnreadytowed 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 The Last Ruler 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 2 Blackandslvrattack 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Spanish Channel 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Love Not War 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Stick Up 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Rolinga 4.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Miss Maybell 6.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tequila Sunrise 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Bunny Yogurt 4.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Reinahermosa 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Sweet Connie Girl 3.50 6.3 12-1
4 4 Magnificent Q T 3.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Greater Glory 10.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Shanghai Barbie 6.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Tough But Nice 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Puriano 3.50 3 6-1
7 6 Conquest Cobra 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Fast Cotton 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Miracle March 3.00 4 7-1
4 4 Royal Seeker 8.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Captain N. Barron 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ragtime Blues 1.60 2.2 4-1
8 7 Howbeit 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Temple Bar 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 River Finn 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Uncaptured Hero 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Octopus 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Hav Plenty 30.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Dean Martini 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lookin for Revenge 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Capote S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hydrogen 2.00 1.9 3-1
7 7 Raging Whiskey 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Tap Back 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Prince Magician 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Side Street Dave 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Dapper 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Georgian Road 6.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Istain Man 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Never Think Twice 2.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Absolute Weapon 2.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Capital Reef 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Danny Aho 6.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Baltimore Beecho 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Stay Legendary 20.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Jasmine Sky 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Warren’s Van Gogh 20.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Mountain View 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lorelei’s Warrior 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Malibu Magic 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Blue Skye Jade 3.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Dinesen 4.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Fait Accompli 2.50 7.3 14-1
3 3 Suite Alonso 10.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Ivorian 3.50 8.7 16-1
2 2 Fort Dodge 20.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Speak to the World 30.00 12.3 23-1
9 9 Artcrilic 30.00 12.4 23-1
7 7 R B Eye 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Go Sammy Go 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.