September 21, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Outofthepark | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lion Charmer | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Five Alarm Robin | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stand My Ground | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Lover | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Junior Senator | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Auld Lange Syne | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aladdin Sane | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Antipoison | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A King’s Ransom | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pensaba | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Queen Michelle | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Story | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Height of Thestorm | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olin’s Honor | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Portulaca | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vow to Dance | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kickstartmyheart | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Selima S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Promise | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Beach | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sharing | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Kitten | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midship Lady | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Romney Marsh | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rising Bella | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stroll Smokin | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | By the Sey Shore | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onemoregreattime | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runforthemunnings | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baptize the Boy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hargus | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Rule | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Chimes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Laurel Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Irish Mias | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Field Pass | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doc Boy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Torres Del Paine | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mischevious Alex | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jack the Ripper (FR) | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Benny Havens | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Haired Boy | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Quantico Kid | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Bald Eagle Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Inclusive | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s No Lemon | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Another Mystery | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jais’s Solitude | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zonda | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Channel Island | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thomond Park | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Changi | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Critical Data (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Baltimore/washington International Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Caribou Club | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frontier Market | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Macagone | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Howard | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Up the Ante | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glorious Empire (IRE) | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cullum Road | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Brown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | He Hate Me | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Killybegs Captain | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Old Time Revival | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bon Raison | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Altissimo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New York Central | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wonderful Light | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sparticle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Laurel Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dubini | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oldies But Goodies | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dirty | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fielder | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Nitro | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Shane | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Square Shooter | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nice Tune | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Triad | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pool Winner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sensible Lady Turf Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Goldwood | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unaquoi | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Escapade | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fire Key | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Echo | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Originator | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fame Feather | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Dame Blanche | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fear No Evil | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s All Skeet | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Or Stroll | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rocky Policy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Weathervane S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Meadow Dance | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Needs Supervision | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jennemily | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bunting | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | M C Hamster | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Decoupage | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Adventurous Lady | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Talkthetalk | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foggy Dreams | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady T N T | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Take Charge Angel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zieg | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Amigo | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Times | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coffee Please | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bayano | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boss of Bourbon St | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Silence | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Go Go | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.