September 20, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | DREAM PEARL | 1.60 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | LIL DUDE AA | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | RACHELS SILKIE AA | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | LAST CALL MHF | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | RB HOCUS POCUS | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | SKEEDADDLE | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Z YOYO GO | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | MY THUNDER BOLT | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Imagineiamfastest | 0.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bound to Go | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impeachment Ace | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Doo Run Run | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Cat Canyon | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Salute | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rizzi’s Honors | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasin Lucas | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Tiger | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gia Lula | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruby Trust | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winsinfashion | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My S V R | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suezaaana | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dairy Kid | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Petronilla | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Encounter | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Any Two Cards | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Banjo | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Destiny’s Journey | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Turn | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arouse N Go | 2.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billy’sgotasingle | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses for Doug | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Totally Normal | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Billy K | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Road Test | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Diva | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Base | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indypendent Deputy | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love of Art (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buttie | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Fraulein | 1.40 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Biddy Duke | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom Ride | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses for Laura | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sienna | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Screen Gossip | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | The Longest Night | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Pass | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Score | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Lord Adare | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Northrndancrsghost | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silenced | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stable Genius | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stretford End | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Torosay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smiling to Excess | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Alessandra | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fire Diamonds | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nikkileaks | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Expensive Devon | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slew’s Screen Star | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Erica’s Tiger | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bode’s Best | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sake | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenyetta | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Johnnie | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.