September 19, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | AURA MAKARINA | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | SLUFFYS GIZMO | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | WMA PLATINUM | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | MARSANNE MHF | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | PRESTONS LADY AA | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | RU MYSTIFIED | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | WHR INCENDIARY | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | MY THUNDER BOLT | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | RB HOT BUNS | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vermeer | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agent Zero | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Credance | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truest Reward | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Floyd Moneymaker | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Boy Andy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coast of Roan | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunset Seven | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seau | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Topgallant | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ooh La La Whalah | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fishel | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome John | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bea’s Boy | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Amatara | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | True Mischief | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Persepolis | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Surreptitious | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kohala Coast | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free Belief | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Tokyo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Phone Chatter S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Quality Response | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mean Sophia | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Convoluted | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paid Informant | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gingham | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colombian Gold | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seahawk Lisa | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dipping In | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sentimental | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lizzario | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Give Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | I Can Do This | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast as Cass | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street to Indy | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broke Away Grey | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Jones | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Station | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chieftain’s Lad | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Older Brother | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Party Factor | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Morning | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | According to Buddy | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The White Shadow | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Satori | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mon Camo | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Threefiveindia | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Make It a Triple | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coil Me Home | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | R Cha Cha | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grinning Tiger | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J T’s A. T. M. | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Zip | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tap the Wire | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breakers Isle | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coliseum | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.