September 15, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peggy Sue | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Speed | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caralicious | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Too Much Drama | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Emily | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Pleasantly | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daring Disguise | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No More Miracles | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnesite | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alphastest | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clear the Ramp | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Implied Volatility | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Capt. Courageous | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Halo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Da Berg | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bulwark | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chipolata (FR) | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scottish Jig | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Matty’s Magnum | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Xenobia (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Full of Stars (GER) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tequila Fog | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cruising Strong | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fortune’s Girl | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High School Crush | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Top Hat Invasion | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trinity Girl | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barker Lane | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild North | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ama Is a Rock | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manage My Credit | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Curluck | 1.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carlisle Belle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Image | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Clockstrikestwelve | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tayler’s the Boss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Codrington | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Theodosia | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Psalmody | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Grand Banks | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Golconda (FR) | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tequila Sunday | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Off the Record | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fortune’s Fool | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missle Bomb | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Under a Spell | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sicilia Mike | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moshaher | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Shennan (IRE) | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiberius Mercurius | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Asdaaf | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Overbold | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corcoran | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Mast | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Compliant | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sandy Lane Kitten | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Alec | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cardiff Cay | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timepiece | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blues City | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dream Bigger | 0.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapizearance | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Package | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ariesberg | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold My Call | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harris Bay | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chowda | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Analyzethisandthat | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Durkin’s Call | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Manoffire | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dowse’s Beach | 1.40 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Morning Breez | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Leaky Cup | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shiraz | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Crocheron Kid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Outrageous Bet | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Discretionary Marq | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Royal Asset | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mission Command | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Psychic Energy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Binkster | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Playthatfunnymusic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | New York’s Finest | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Banana Thief | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Tom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | Coltandmississippi | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fear | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Canarsie Kid | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dalarna | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Ballantine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Aristocratic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Mad Munnys | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Ethan Hunt | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Have Another | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Samadi Sky | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.