September 14, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frobisher Bay | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Radio Nowhere | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suitedconnected | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meet Cute | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bitethebulletbro | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victor’s Way | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnite Snackattak | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peggy’s Cove | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Real Money | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Congrats | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Four Aces High | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amnesty | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seventh Wonder | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Lemonade | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scattered Strikes | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hibiscus Punch | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bold Venture S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sable Island | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yorkton | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Honor | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O’Kratos | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tringale | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Lloyd | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Subzero Plus | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dancing Doll | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Borrowed Angel | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dynatown | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Patton’s Girl | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Real Coal | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Double Medal | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Twitter Storm | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Fact Checking | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fresh Dreams | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Touch of Emma | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silent Empire | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Classic | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Unclaimedtreasure | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skynyrd | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Synergized | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dulcibelle (GER) | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Earthquakedirector | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Krpan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Meant to Tell You | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Palace Two Step | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artie’s Princess | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Don’t Smile Lilah | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Romantic Gizmo | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Born to Be Good | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glamourous Girl | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Golden Lotus | 20.00 | 19.5 | 37-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Hat Boss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Honey Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Canadian S. Presented By The Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Starship Jubilee | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnetic Charm (GB) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixie Moon | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Touriga (BRZ) | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holy Helena | 2.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Competitionofideas | 1.60 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giovanna Blues | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | El Chairman | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dotted Line | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agnelli | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Priceless Will | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Better Boogie | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Valuable Pillow | 3.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild About Blue | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sparkish | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mia’s Extortionist | 6.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Storm Chart | 8.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Ricoh Woodbine Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silent Poet | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Guru | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Synchrony | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Got Stormy | 1.60 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Tormenta | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raging Bull (FR) | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Made You Look | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Admiralty Pier | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucullan | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesometank (GB) | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Emmaus (IRE) | 20.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Northern Dancer Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cooler Mike | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Slam | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Sahib | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Persian (GB) | 1.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Focus Group | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nessy | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Distinct Passion | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salieri | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Combative | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Crawl From the Bar | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get the News | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jungle Warrior | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viewfinder | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alicia’s Kid | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dunes of Namibia | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | D Magician | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dance Ready | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lilibet | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Classic Beauty | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Clairessence | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stokes | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mine Fast Philly | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Playing Smart | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mahone Bay | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vinyasa | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Musical Flight | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.