September 14, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Rembrandt | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viva Nevada | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Shock | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empty House | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circus Music | 4.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Al Dila | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Blinding | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Quench My Thirst | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Thefundsarelow | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Treasury Stock | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daddy’s Placer | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Mr. Skittles | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caoimhe | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Paso a La Reina | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bash | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | If You Only Knew | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hibernia Diamond | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Included | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justenuff Hope | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deep Canyon | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Savannah’s Dream | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dereya | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Georgia Bonnet | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Flashonforty | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baseline | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thomas Knight | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Manolete | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Drosselmagic | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Doddsprivatelabel | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stand and Salute | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Indygo Breeze | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Pegasus Red | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | True Blue | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | No More Strippers | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Controlled Fury | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Circle Game | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barley Jack | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Formal Class | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celesse | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosie’s Notion | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Mamaluke | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grazen Honor | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – Parx Hall Of Fame Filly And Mare Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Potra Liza | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cuddle Kitten | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Not Joking | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Atina Salsa | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Friday Mass | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Serious Happiness | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Special | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dean’s Ticket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Who’s Out | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Caramelo | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whateveryouwant | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Get the W | 4.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A J’s Way | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Breeze | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Popizar | 8.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Return of a Giant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Stakes) – Parx Hall Of Fame Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Salsa’s Return | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | His Royal Majesty | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moon Gate Warrior | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dirt in Your Face | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Deal Driven | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D T Goodie | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O’Kram | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adventist | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sparty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dynamax Prime | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Maid of Iron | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Pablo’s Dream | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bankin On an Angel | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Streak of Kitten | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Iwasbornawinner | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | She’s Sure Classy | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Via Avanti | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | African Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Silky Appeal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.