September 14, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Marie From Parie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You Made It | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Piu Bella | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flirtation Walk | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Petticoatsnpistols | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heningham | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eye of the Wildcat | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Kim | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missimard | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caterina One | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Castle Ridge | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Call Me Jelly Roll | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fact of War | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rule Yourself | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heza Kitten | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bandito | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Closer Look | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Jag | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Makes Mo Cents | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caladan | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greek Prince | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Revolutionary Road | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Somekindofmagician | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hall Pass | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Won and Done | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Showalter | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Threes Over Deuces | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daily News | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parade of Nations | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cerulean Springs | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Grand River | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Takemetodinner | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Rojo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Image | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Mason Factor | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conquistodor Fuego | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hunca Rock | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Trips | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | History Buff | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Chesapeakecity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Press Release | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Captain Thunder | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Hot Factor | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Padrino’s Heart | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maranatha | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Chimes | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daystrike | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Magician | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Antrim Aubrey | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustoff | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Verboten | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Fought | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Birdsnest Party | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Doctor | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tempt Me Twice | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Divine Interventio | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Martini Kid | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Playing Hooky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jefazo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Moonlight Shadow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Action Everyday | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Smart Step | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ellyb | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ode to Joy | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Something Magical | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Believe Indeed | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dendrobia | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Why Now | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ava O | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Annie Rocks | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | West Coast Bias | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Windy City Kitty | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wonder City | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meet Michelle | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amphitrite | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shes Not Not Fast | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bachelor’s Bait | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barbara Gordon | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Orbette | 5.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Princess Adira | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hey Prez | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eddy Dirt | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top Hat Warrior | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Junior | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | McLean House | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Son of Aponi | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C M Runaway | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gold Man | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southside Warrior | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Eminence | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Incorporate | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Praise the Moon | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runabout | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Worth His Salt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alleria | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pigeon Creek | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gold Cadillac | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Bizness Beauty | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Barton Hall | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Art Thief | 2.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trois Ponts | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Possebly a Lover | 50.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Topline | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Start’er Up Billie | 50.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | We Hap Now | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Echo of Victory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tashmoo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Don’t Tell Me | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Willed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Excuse My Charisma | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.